The Syraqi Civil War thread

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#1
One of my favourite threads on that Other Site was the discussion on the ongoing civil war taking place in Syria and Iraq, sometimes called Syraq, a region torn apart by an overlapping conflict that has blurred the borders of both sides and seen the emergence of the terror group ISIS, or Islamic State, in the region. Right now this is the state of play in the North Arabian area, controlled by a wide variety of warring factions:

1280px-Syrian%2C_Iraqi%2C_and_Lebanese_insurgencies.png

VLqE760.png

The intervention of Russia back in September has further complicated efforts to bring about peace, and the large increase in refugee flows to Europe since the start of Russia's bombing campaign isn't exactly coincidental either.

The latest activities by Russia.......

  • Syrian regime ground offensives against rebels in the southern countryside of Aleppo and against ISIS near the besieged Kuweires Airbase east of Aleppo City largely stalled following ISIS's offensive against the regime-held town of Safira in the southeastern Aleppo countryside on October 26.
  • Russian airstrikes, however, largely concentrated in rebel-held areas south of Aleppo City and within the city center according to local activist reporting.
  • Iranian state news claimed that Russian warplanes targeted ISIS and Syrian al-Qaeda affiliate Jabhat al-Nusra near the Syrian Golan Heights on October 28. Local reporting in Syria has not yet substantiated these claims. ISW therefore does not assess these strikes with even low-confidence at this time.
  • If confirmed, Russian airstrikes in southern Syria could be a sign of Russian cooperation with Israel and Jordan after both countries established independent coordination “mechanisms” with Russia on September 21 and October 23, respectively.
  • The strikes could alternatively represent an escalation against Syria’s southern neighbors if not coordinated with Amman and Tel Aviv.
Russian%2BAirstrikes%2B28%2BOCT-01.jpg

http://iswresearch.blogspot.ie/2015/10/russian-airstrikes-in-syria-september_28.html

This conflict still has a long road to travel before being resolved.
 
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#2
America "putting boots on the ground". Don't think these are the first , maybe the first they'll admit too. The Americans don't like Russia stealing the march on them, but the Russian public will take deaths easier I feel than the American people of their citizens.

http://www.thejournal.ie/us-ground-troops-syria-2418074-Oct2015/
 
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#4
Geopolitics and the War in Syria

This is a copy and paste of my thread about geopolitics and the war in Syria

A fascinating article I came across, written by a German academic. It discusses the classic theories of geopolitics and how they now impact on the war in Syria.

It was Sir Halford Mackinder who developed the "Heartland Theory". This theory argued that whoever controlled Eastern Europe could control the "Heartland" of Eurasia. The Heartland is a vast area from the Volga to the Yangtze river in China and from Tibet to the Arctic. And controlling this area could lead to world domination.

Mackinder's student, the American Nicholas Spykman, later modified Mackinder's theory to argue that it was the "Rimland" of Eurasia, not the Heartland, that was the most decisive zone. The Rimland runs from Scandinavia through the centre of Eastern Europe down into the Middle East and then along the shores of the Indian Ocean and on to Indo-China and the coast of China. Spykman argued that Maritime powers such as America could dominate this "Rimland" area. It is this "Rimland" area that has seen many American interventions since the beginning of the Cold War.

Now Russia and its allies have directly challenged America in the Rimland.
It appears that China and Russia perceive themselves in a common position of co-dominance over the South Asian realm, and their fierce ‘no’ against an intervention by western powers in Syria can well be seen in the sense of a political-international-legal doctrine of an, at least hinted at, ban on interventions by powers from outside the region, directed chiefly at America.
 
An actual victory by Russia and its allies in Syria could have the severest consequences for America's prestige and freedom of action in the "Rimland". It looks like the Syrian war may continue and is already becoming a proxxy war between Russia and America.

Washington cannot, simply in their very own interest, afford to leave these Eurasian Rim Land regions to their fate,
let alone to the two Asian world powers.
http://russia-insider.com/en/politics/whoever-controls-eurasia-controls-world/ri10549
 
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Ren84
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#5
Tigerben said:
America "putting boots on the ground". Don't think these are the first , maybe the first they'll admit too. The Americans don't like Russia stealing the march on them, but the Russian public will take deaths easier I feel than the American people of their citizens.

http://www.thejournal.ie/us-ground-troops-syria-2418074-Oct2015/
There has been US Special Forces on the ground in Syria for some time now. This is merely formal confirmation of what many knew for quite a while. They should establish permanent bases in Rojava, their use not limited to just Special Forces but also Allied Air Forces.
 
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Ren84
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#6
Iraq Control of Terrain Map: October 30, 2015

Iraqi Security Forces (ISF) and "Popular Mobilization" recaptured the Baiji Oil Refinery on October 21 following operations to recapture Baiji city on October 14. Prime Minister Haidar al-Abadi then visited Baiji city on October 23, marking the city's full recapture. ISW is thus upgrading Baiji and the Baiji Oil Refinery from Contested to ISF-held locations. PUK Peshmerga have also maintained limited gains in villages in southern Kirkuk near Taza and Daquq as part of anti-ISIS operations that began on September 12. ISIS has not launched substantive counter-attacks against the Peshmerga in these areas, and they remain under Peshmerga control. ISW has thus expanded the Populated areas under PUK Peshmerga control in southern Kirkuk.
Iraq%2BBlobby%2Bmap%2B30%2BOCT%2B2015.png

Good work by coalition supported Iraqi and Pesh forces.
 
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#7
RE: Geopolitics and the War in Syria

Sorry about the vanishing threads there. Was trying out my mod powers and making a mess of it.

All sorted now - we have a single merged Syria thread.
 
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#10
Ren84 said:
There has been US Special Forces on the ground in Syria for some time now. This is merely formal confirmation of what many knew for quite a while. They should establish permanent bases in Rojava, their use not limited to just Special Forces but also Allied Air Forces.
To do what exactly?
50 special forces and 4 moderate, trained rebels?
It's like a Woody Allen movie.
Suppose this will cost another 500 million dollars.
 
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Ren84
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#11
El Chaval. said:
To do what exactly?
50 special forces and 4 moderate, trained rebels?
It's like a Woody Allen movie.
Suppose this will cost another 500 million dollars.
The US Special Forces are being stationed in Kurdish territory. You know, those rebels you DO like........supposedly.
 
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#12
The FSA were supposedly armed with TOWs to fight ISIS.
To prevent proliferation, they were ordered to record every attack on video to keep account of usage.
Can anyone show me a single video of the FSA using a TOW on an ISIS target?
There are scores of videos online and not one of them attacking ISIS with a TOW.