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Non Ethnic Irish population expected to be at 43% by 2051 according to CSO figures

Superhans

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Latest CSO estimates see the Irish population increase by an extra two million by 2051


According to the CSO the Irish population is on course to increase by a further 2 million by 2051.

The Central Statistics Office said if the high fertility and migration rates continue, then the country’s population will balloon to 6.69 million by 2051.

The latest Census figures showed that the population stood at 4.74 million in April 2016.

Ireland population to explode by an extra 2million by the year 2051
GDPR Consent
Population could hit 6.69 million by 2051 - CSO


As you will see from the figures below, based on existing figures of Births, Deaths and Immigration, by 2051 the number of Ethnic Irish will have reduced slightly from today's figures whilst the Immigrant population will boom. However to meet the 6.69 Million targets nearly 1.6 Million more migrants will have to be imported into Ireland.

Current Population by Nationality
https://www.cso.ie/px/pxeirestat/Statire/SelectVarVal/saveselections.asp



Population of Ireland 2016 Census 4,689,921

Those who identify with being Irish 3,854,226

Ethnic Irish 3,774,212


Irish Travellers 30,987


Other White Nationalities 446,727

Black or Black Irish/African 57,850

Other Black Backgrounds 6,789

Asian/Chinese 19,447


Other Asian 79,273


Mixed Background 70,603


Nationality Not stated 124,019




Non-Ethnic Irish = 804,708
Ethnic Irish including Travellers = 3,805,199
Those who identify with being Irish White Background = 80,014

Total = 4,689,921


Population of Ireland 2016 Census 4,689,921



The Current Population Groth rate is 0.8%

The current population growth rate from these figures

Ethnic White Irish people is 0.2% - Current population 3,774,212, Expected Population 2051 = 4,020,000

Irish Travellers 1% - Current Population 30,987, Expected Population 2051 = 41,000

Other White Backgrounds 1.6% Current Population 446,727, Expected Population 2051 = 683888

African - 0.3% Current Population , 57,850 Expected Population 2051 = 77,000
According to statistics by the CSO the current population of Black Africans dropped by 0.3% between 2011 and 2016, It would be wrong to consider this group to continue falling so we will add a modest 1% Growth which is in line with other nationality growth rates in Ireland

Any Other Black background 1.2% Current Population, 6,789, Expected Population 2051 = 9500

Chinese 1.7% Current Population 19, 447, Expected Population 2051 = 30,500

Any Other Asian Background Growth Rate = 3.5% Current Population 79,272 , Expected Population 2051 = 170,000

Mixed Race, Growth Rate = 11.6% Current Population 70,603, Expected Population 2051 = 340,000


Screenshot.png
Ethnicity - CSO - Central Statistics Office


2016 Figures

Non-Ethnic Irish = 804,708
Ethnic Irish including Travellers = 3,805,199


Total = 4,609,907

2051 Figures

Non-Ethnic Irish = 1,310,888
Ethnic Irish including Travellers = 4,061,000

Total Population = 5,371,888


Population Death Rate annually of 6.5%

Revised Figures to Include Death Rates

Ethnic Irish Death`s Over 33 Years = 263,965 Population stands at 3,797,035

Non-Ethnic Irish Death`s Over 33 Years = 85,208 Population stands at 1,225,680

Total Population = 5,022,715

CSO EXPECTED POPULATION FIGURES = 6,690000
Difference off = - 1,667,285 short of target figures, the only way to make this figure up is to import immigrants.

1,667,285 Non-Irish Ethnic Immigrants
Non-Ethnic Irish 1,225,680


Total = 2,892,965

Ethnic Irish Population = 3,797,035
Ethnic Irish majority of just 904,070


43% of the Irish population will no longer be Ethnic Irish



It's also useful to note that these figures are only estimates and are based on accurate census figure returns. Census forms are never collected from every person living in the state as some people refuse to fill them out.


Population Non Ethnic Irish population expected to be at 43% by 2051 according to CSO figures
 
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Superhans

Superhans

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I also think these figures are very conservative, if they plan to import 1.6 Milion more migrants as is clearly stated in the articles, then the birth rates will increase further for the non-Irish.

Based on the figures above it shows the Ethnic Irish are just not having children and a small decline in the population of Ethnic Irish is a real chance by 2051.

As for Irish culture, with half of the population being foreign I doubt the Irish language will be around any more.
 

2pacs

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The African population reduced between 2011 and 2016? Bull shit.

According to the CSO its Asians who are flooding Ireland/Muslims.

And Mixed Race is the biggest growth in Ireland of people!

I think the Irish will be a minoriry well before 2051.
 

2pacs

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I just don't get whats wrong with us, surely there is enough of us to do something, organise a counter-protest or something?

Whatever happened to Irish Warrior? He started here showing us a video of him hanging a banner on a bridge, haven't seen him for ages now.
 

Olli Rehn

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All those figures are bullshyte.
A lot of those folks will simply have to emigrate- like millions of Irish before them.
As Brian Lenihan said- after all we are only a small island.
I would be more concerned about the destruction of our soil, the pollution of our water and the general vandalism of the island of Ireland by its white Christian Gaelic population.
 
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Superhans

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All those figures are bullshyte.
A lot of those folks will simply have to emigrate- like millions of Irish before them.
As Brian Lenihan said- after all we are only a small island.
I would be more concerned about the destruction of our soil, the pollution of our water and the general vandalism of the island of Ireland by its white Christian Gaelic population.
All those figures are CSO figures Olli, no bullshit.
 

El Chaval.

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All those figures are bullshyte.
A lot of those folks will simply have to emigrate- like millions of Irish before them.
As Brian Lenihan said- after all we are only a small island.
I would be more concerned about the destruction of our soil, the pollution of our water and the general vandalism of the island of Ireland by its white Christian Gaelic population.
So you think iliterate Africans will do a better job caring for Ireland and it's environment than native Irish.
Africans and Asians who have neither love nor affinity for Ireland.
 

Olli Rehn

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All those figures are CSO figures Olli, no bullshit.
Of course those figures a bullshit. It does not matter where they come from.
We always had emigration- and will have emigration again. So what makes you thinking that those folks will stay here?
Besides that- surely you would call this figures all made up if they would actually show a decline in the number of immigrants.
You just do pick and choose- typical hypocrite!
 

Olli Rehn

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So you think iliterate Africans will do a better job caring for Ireland and it's environment than native Irish.
Africans and Asians who have neither love nor affinity for Ireland.
No difference between a Paddy and a Mohammed. Just pointing out that your average white Christian Gaelic is no better than a Muslim.
But you and your ilk try to make us believe that Paddy and Biddy are saints!
 

El Chaval.

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No difference between a Paddy and a Mohammed. Just pointing out that your average white Christian Gaelic is no better than a Muslim.
But you and your ilk try to make us believe that Paddy and Biddy are saints!
That would explain the huge progress and standard of living in Islamic countries.
I'm starting to think you are a troll, Olli.
 
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