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Labour sources: "We'll get between 10-16 seats & return to Govt"

Madam

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Grandeur?

Realistic?

Or sheer stupidity?


Labour are thinking that they will lose half there current seats and retain around 10-16 according to a source quoted in the Irish times.

Personally speaking I think they may return 5 if they are lucky!



[font=Georgia, 'Times New Roman', Times, serif]Senior Labour Party figures have warned the party could lose up to 20 seats – nearly half its current number – in the next general election.[/font]
[font=Georgia, 'Times New Roman', Times, serif]The party has carried out analysis which claims on the party’s worst day it will return 10 TDs and on its best 16.[/font]
[font=Georgia, 'Times New Roman', Times, serif]The results were compiled by senior party strategists and were based on constituency polls carried out across the country.[/font]


[font=Georgia, 'Times New Roman', Times, serif][size=medium][font=Georgia, 'Times New Roman', Times, serif]A senior Labour source said: “On our best day we will bring 16 TDs back to the Dáil and with that we will be back in government.[/font][/font][/size]

[font=Georgia, 'Times New Roman', Times, serif][font=Georgia, 'Times New Roman', Times, serif]“On a good but not a great day, we can win 14 seats and 10 on a bad day.”[/font][/font]

[font=Georgia, 'Times New Roman', Times, serif][font=Georgia, 'Times New Roman', Times, serif]The analysis shows that the party is confident it can secure seats in Longford Westmeath with Willie Penrose TD, Tipperary with Minister for the Environment Alan Kelly, Louth with Minister for Small Business Ged Nash, Wexford with Minister for Public Expenditure Brendan Howlin, Limerick with Minister for Education Jan O’Sullivan, Kildare South with Mark Wall and North Kildare with Emmett Stagg TD.[/font][/font]

[font=Georgia, 'Times New Roman', Times, serif][font=Georgia, 'Times New Roman', Times, serif]It believes on a good day it can also secure seats in Carlow Kilkenny with Minister for Rural Affairs Ann Phelan, Cork North Central with Minister of State at the Department of Health Kathleen Lynch, Dublin North West with TD John Lyons and Clare with TD Michael McNamara.[/font][/font]

[font=Georgia, 'Times New Roman', Times, serif][font=Georgia, 'Times New Roman', Times, serif]The party believes it could secure five seats in Dublin – Dublin West with Tánaiste Joan Burton, Dublin Mid-West with TD Joanna Tuffy, Dublin Bay South with Minister of State at the Department of Social Protection Kevin Humphreys, Dublin Fingal with TD Brendan Ryan and in Dublin Bay North with Minister of State Aodhán Ó Ríordáin.[/font][/font]
[font=Georgia, 'Times New Roman', Times, serif][font=Georgia, 'Times New Roman', Times, serif]The senior source said: “We believe we will be back in government with those figures.”[/font][/font]

[font=Georgia, 'Times New Roman', Times, serif][font=Georgia, 'Times New Roman', Times, serif]Minister for Communications Alex White would be the biggest casualty if these results were replicated in the election.[/font][/font]
[font=Georgia, 'Times New Roman', Times, serif][font=Georgia, 'Times New Roman', Times, serif]TDs Ciara Conway, Derek Nolan, Arthur Spring, Ciáran Lynch, Michael McCarthy, Dominic Hannigan, Anne Ferris, Joe Costello, Eric Byrne and Minister for Overseas Aid Seán Sherlock would also lose their seats.[/font][/font]

[font=Georgia, 'Times New Roman', Times, serif]http://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/top-labour-party-figures-warn-party-could-lose-20-seats-1.2438526[/font]
 

Ren84

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RE: Labour sources: "We'll get between 10-16 seats & return to Govt"

Proof that the last five years holed up in the Govt bunker has warped all sense of reality within the minds of the Stickies. Completely delusional stuff. They'll be lucky to return with half a dozen seats and that's being generous.
 
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I can only hope it's worse than the worst they imagine. I'd love for moaning Joan to lose her seat along with Kelly . If they came back with 8 seats it would still be eight to many!
 

capitalismrots

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I f was taking match betting individual Labour T.Ds,  would give Sherlock more of a chance then Joanie in Dublin!
 
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Madam

Madam

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RE: Labour sources: "We'll get between 10-16 seats & return to Govt"

Ren84 said:
Proof that the last five years holed up in the Govt bunker has warped all sense of reality within the minds of the Stickies. Completely delusional stuff. They'll be lucky to return with half a dozen seats and that's being generous.
Have to agree, they appear to be taking no notice of the polls, they didnt even get a bounce on the back of the budget, considering how well the indo`s are doing they are down to the core gullible vote.
 

Ren84

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RE: Labour sources: "We'll get between 10-16 seats & return to Govt"

Madam said:
Have to agree, they appear to be taking no notice of the polls, they didnt even get a bounce on the back of the election, considering how well the indo`s are doing !
Oh they're taking notice of the polls alright. They'll pretend not to care and insist the election is the only poll that matters but they'll be watching each and every poll between now and election day. FFailure said the same thing......so all those early retirements by FF pols and ministers leading up to the GE in 2011 were entirely coincidental and not them wanting to avoid a Portillo moment of their own. :D
 

ergo2

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i wonder about the constituency polls mentioned.

Proper reliable polling is expensive.    An a properly sized sample, represented the various demographics - say a 1000.   Then polling to be carried out independently etc.

Would any party spend that money at this stage?
 
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