Its not crazy. Paddy power bookmakers favored Hillary to win in 2016. Fair enough she was an established politician. Odds on her were poor. Paddy Power offered 3/1 on Trump when it should 6/5. Hillary had the edge bit only starting off. As the election campaign progressed Power raised the odds on Trump to 4/1. This was mad and could only be explained by emotional thinking. In fact as I placed my bets , the staff asked me how I could support such a horrible candidate? Power loved Hillary so much he paid out on her a weeks before the result.The Green vote is most certainly NOT toxic worldwide. Climate change, plastics etc is on everyone's lips.
And I don't need your advice about ignoring personal preferences when making a forecast. Are you crazy? You think my preferences are for the ones I forecast to win? Ludicrous. That's like saying that my wish that Dundalk will win the Champions League constitutes a prediction that they will win.